Here is an additional error that just seems to be popping up every now and then on the Web Server:
Event Type: Error
Event Source: ADFS
Event Category: None
Event ID: 684
Date: 4/16/2008
Time: 6:52:45 PM
User: N/A
Computer: GOLDERWEB
Description:
The ADFS Web Agent was unable to update trust information from the Federation Service. The Federation Service Secure Sockets Layer (SSL) server certificate could not be validated.
Federation Service URL: https://golderdevdc.golderdev.net/adfs/fs/federationserverservice.asmx
User Action
Verify that the Federation Service SSL server certificate chains to a root certificate that is in the Local Computer Trusted Root Certification Authorities certificate store on the web server.
Verify that the SSL certificate is neither expired nor revoked.
Verify that the SSL certificate subject matches the host name portion of the Federation Service Uniform Resource Locator (URL).
For more information, see Help and Support Center at http://go.microsoft.com/fwlink/events.asp.
Edit: The cert from the FS is sitting in the trusted root, its not expired... and it has the same name "golderdevdc.golderdev.net" as the FQDN of the machine its from...
I am not sure what else to look for here.